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Los jugadores clave para la reconstruccin que viene. Una visin según el WAR.

Antes de explicar que jugadores deberan ser cambiados y cuales deberan permanecer en los Pittsburgh Pirates, permtanme comenzar con un matiz verdaderamente relevante. Y es que las siguientes lneas no son opiniones personales, quiero dejarlo claro, son simplemente el reflejo de las estimaciones del WAR para los prximos 3 aos, según las projecciones de ZiPS. Por supuesto, estas proyecciones tienen en cuenta que se disputara la temporada completa, algo que parece imposible a da de hoy debido a la suspensin de partidos causada por el COVID-19.Antes de comenzar a decantar la balanza a desire de unos u otros, me gustara mencionar a Ryan Borgemenke, quien hace unos meses public un artculo para el Baseball Scientific tests Magazine de SABR, en el cual conclua que en un 57,3% de las ocasiones, el equipo que llegaba a las Earth Collection con un WAR worldwide mayor, se alzaba con la victoria. Hasta aqu todo organic. Ni parece un dato muy significativo, ni estoy pensando en que los Pirates vayan a jugar pronto unas World wide Sequence.Pese a todo ello, lo cierto es que es un artculo altamente recomendable, y que invito a todo el mundo a leer Kyle Crick Jersey. A pesar de que Borgemenke sea un declarado fanático de los Cincinnati Reds, personalmente me sent tan inspirado al leer su artculo, que decid comenzar a trabajar para evaluar cuales son las perspectivas de WAR en cada jugador del roster de los Pirates.Ante tal situacin, mi pensamiento posterior fue: sumiendo que estos pronsticos fueran ciertos, ¿qu jugadores deberan ser intercambiados por prospectos para reconstruir la franquicia A continuacin os presento algunos resultados. 1. Josh BellComo declarado admirador de Josh Bell, este análisis me duele más que a nadie. En mi reciente visita a Pittsburgh, casualmente me encontr con JB en mitad de la ciudad despus de un encuentro contra los Cubs. Le expliqu que haba viajado desde Espaa para animar al equipo y l fue tremendamente amable conmigo. Un detalle que difcilmente olvidar jamás.Sin embargo, me he prometido ser fiel a los resultados estadsticos, y los pronsticos no pueden ser más pesimistas sobre Bell. La pasada campaa firm un WAR de 2,5, mientras que su media en los prximos aos sera de 2,0, llegando a firmar su nivel más bajo en 2022 con un WAR de 1,9.Es por ello, que su máximo valor para buscar buenos traspasos en un intercambio sera previo al inicio de esta prxima temporada (cuando quiera que se inicie, claro está). 2. Adam FrazierEl caso de Adam Frazier es bastante very similar al de JB. Para este 2020, su receso en trminos de WAR podra ser de -0,2 puntos, pasando de un WAR 2,2 a uno de 2,0. Además, estadsticamente sus peores aos estaran por venir. Es muy prospective que su valor de mercado más elevado sea en estos momentos, como ya se coment durante las últimas Winter season Conferences, donde algunas fuentes apuntaron el inters de varias franquicias por Frazier. Es ahora cuando los Pirates deberan buscar buenos prospectos como moneda de cambio. 3. Colin MoranEn este caso, Colin Moran apunta a ser uno de los casos más polmicos de esta lista, pues según las proyecciones, es uno de los jugadores que más va a mejorar sus prestaciones en este 2020, aumentando un 0,4 en trminos de WAR.Lo cierto es que no es muy difcil, pensarán algunos, tras el discreto rendimiento que ofreci en el pasado ao. Lo cierto es que aunque habra una mejora, no se espera de l mucho más que ser un jugador de reemplazo, probablemente para acabar dando descanso a Hayes en 3B o a Bell en 1B (siempre que este permaneciese en la franquicia).Lo cierto es que actualmente, el valor de Colin Moran en el mercado es residual, para una posicin donde la habilidades defensivas son tan relevantes.¿Mi propuesta Reconvertirlo a 1B a tiempo completo, para que Hayes y Osuna combinen la esquina caliente prximamente. Si Josh Bell saliera traspasado, Moran podra estar ocupando temporalmente su puesto, lo cual le exigira menos solidez a la defensiva. 4. Keone KelaEn trminos de WAR, la prxima temporada de Keone Kela sera calcada a la anterior, aumentando solamente su WAR de 0,4 a 0,5. Sin embargo, en un papel de nearer Bryan Reynolds Jersey, su notoriedad podra hacerle aumentar su valor en el mercado.Por todo ello, y siendo este su último ao de contrato, la única opcin realista sera traspasarlo antes del cierre de mercado de 2020. 5. Gregory Polanco y Chris ArcherA pesar de ser dos casos muy diferenciados https://www.ppfansstore.com/Dale_Berra_Jersey-39, debido a la trayectoria de ambos en los últimos meses, lo cierto es que estamos hablando de dos jugadores que han rendido por debajo, en mayor o menor medida, de las expectativas que la fanaticada de Pittsburgh haba puesto sobre ellos.Sin embargo, si la salud les respeta, sus pronsticos de WAR aparentemente seran mucho mejores en este 2020. Aun as, ambos comenzaran a sufrir un receso en los prximos aos, por lo que la mejor opcin sera buscar un traspaso al best de esta temporada o durante el prximo invierno.6. Joe Musgrove, Bryan Reynolds Kevin NewmanAntes de escribir mi valoracin, soy plenamente consciente de que lo que comentar a continuacin es algo difcil de imaginar, no obstante, las proyecciones apuntan a que posiblemente ya hayamos visto las mejores versiones de estos tres peloteros. Al menos hasta el 2022.Está claro que todos ellos son jugadores jvenes, que deberan simbolizar la reconstruccin de estos Pittsburgh Pirates. Con todo ello, la mejor opcin sera renovar sus contratos dentro de un par de aos, cuando su rendimiento haya bajado un poco, esperando que a partir del 2023 consigan despegar definitivamente, alcanzando el nivel que todos deseamos, por encima de lo que hemos visto hasta ahora. Las proyecciones nos invitan a ser pacientes con cada uno de ellos.Finalmente, no debemos de olvidarnos de algunos lanzadores de mucho quilates como pueden ser Jameson Taillon o Chad Kuhl, quienes son muy difcil de evaluar en estos momentos, debido a sus lesiones recientes.El caso opuesto lo simbolizan Cole Tucker, Keryan Hayes o Mitch Keller, quienes están llamados a establecerse definitivamente en las Grandes Ligas durante los prximos meses, y sobre los que definitivamente, teniendo en cuenta o no los pronsticos de WAR, podemos afirmar que son el futuro de esta franquicia.The major avid gamers for the subsequent reconstruction- A eyesight in accordance towards WAR.In advance of detailing which gamers ought to be traded and which ought to continue being inside of the Pittsburgh Pirates, make it possible for me commence with a really related nuance. And it is that the immediately after traces are not unique evaluations, I have to have towards deliver it very clear, they are effortlessly the reflection of the WAR offers for the subsequent 3 many years, in accordance in direction of the projections of ZiPS. Of training course, Those projections consider into account that the full period would be disputed https://www.ppfansstore.com/Mike_Easler_Jersey-86, anything at all that appears to be unachievable at present thanks in direction of the suspension of suits brought on through COVID-19.Ahead of starting off towards suggestion the equilibrium inside choose of just one or the other, I would including toward point out Ryan Borgemenke, who a pair weeks in the past created an posting for the Baseball Experiments Magazine of SABR, in just which he finished that 57.3% of the year , the employees that arrived in direction of the Entire world Collection with a significant world WAR https://www.ppfansstore.com/Robbie_Glendinning_Jersey-102, was victorious. Hence much almost everything all-natural. It does not glance amazingly essential, nor am I pondering that the Pirates are heading toward enjoy a Globe Sequence shortly.In spite of all this, the truth of the matter is that it is a very advised report, and I invite every person in direction of examine. Inspite of Borgemenke remaining an outspoken admirer of the Cincinnati Reds, I was individually consequently influenced as a result of looking at his report that I made the decision toward begin operating toward review what WAR prospective customers are for every participant upon the Pirates roster.In just this condition, my following notion was: ssuming that People predictions have been correct, which avid gamers should really be exchanged for prospective clients in the direction of rebuild the franchise Listed here are some good results.1. Josh BellAs an avowed fan of Josh Bell, this research hurts me even further than every person else. Upon my latest pay a visit to in the direction of Pittsburgh, I transpired toward work into JB inside of the centre of city once a video game in opposition to the Cubs. I defined that I experienced traveled versus Spain in direction of cheer upon the personnel and he was amazingly form in direction of me. A matter that I will barely at any time neglect.Still, I consist of promised in the direction of be accurate toward the statistical good results, and the forecasts can not be further pessimistic relating to Bell. Previous time he signed a WAR of 2.5, whilst his typical inside of the coming yrs would be 2.0, attaining his most affordable point in just 2022 with a WAR of 1.9.That is why, its greatest worthy of toward appear for Fantastic transfers within just an swap would be past in direction of the commence of this following year (each time it begins, of system). 2. Adam FrazierAdam Frazier circumstance is Very equivalent toward JB. For this 2020, its recess within just text of WAR may possibly be -0.2 facts, relocating against a WAR 2.2 in direction of a 2.0.In addition, statistically his worst yrs had been however toward occur. It is Quite heading that its utmost market place worthy of is at the second, as now commented in the course of the ultimate Wintertime Conferences, wherever some means pointed out the awareness of many franchises for Frazier. It is at the moment Whilst the Pirates really should glimpse for constructive prospective buyers as a bargaining chip.3. Colin MoranIn this situation, Colin Moran objectives towards be a person of the optimum debatable circumstances upon this checklist, due to the fact in accordance towards projections, he is just one of the avid gamers who will highest strengthen his effectiveness inside of 2020, bettering through 0.4 inside phrases of WAR. The fact is that it is not unbelievably extremely hard, some will believe, following the discreet efficiency it provided in just the over and above calendar year. The reality is that despite the fact that there would be an enhancement, he is not demanded considerably further more than remaining a substitution participant, most likely towards close up furnishing Hayes take it easy within 3B or Bell within 1B (as extensive as he remained inside of the franchise).The reality is that at this time, the charge of Colin Moran in just the current market is residual https://www.ppfansstore.com/Chad_Kuhl_Jersey-28, for a point where by defensive capabilities are consequently suitable.My proposal Transform it toward 1B complete year, therefore Hayes and Osuna will incorporate the very hot corner quickly. If Josh Bell had been in direction of be traded, Moran may possibly be briefly filling his situation, which would will need a lot less solidity versus the protection Pittsburgh Pirates Hoodies.4. Keone KelaIn phrases of WAR, Keone Kela following year would be traced in direction of the prior 1, simply just bettering his WAR towards 0.4 in the direction of 0.5. Even so, inside a nearer job, its notoriety might enhance its truly worth within just the sector.For all such factors, and this becoming his remaining yr of deal, the simply just fair selection would be toward shift it prior to the marketplace closes within 2020. 5. Gregory Polanco and Chris ArcherDespite staying 2 exceptionally substitute situations, owing towards the trajectory of possibly within just current weeks, the fact is that we are conversing more than 2 gamers who consist of carried out beneath, in the direction of a much better or more compact extent, the benchmarks that the Pittsburgh lovers experienced area upon them.Nevertheless, if conditioning respects them, their WAR forecasts would interestingly be a great deal superior within this 2020. Even as a result, each would get started in the direction of endure a recess within the coming yrs, hence the ideal selection would be towards glimpse for a shift at the stop of this time. or through the upcoming winter season. 6. Joe Musgrove, Bryan Reynolds Kevin NewmanBefore composing my assessment, I am absolutely informed that what I will remark under is relatively unattainable in the direction of picture, nevertheless, the projections indicate that we consist of likely previously observed the great models of this kind of 3 avid gamers. At bare minimum till 2022.It is distinct that they are all youthful gamers, who ought to depict the reconstruction of All those Pittsburgh Pirates. With all this, the great decision would be toward renew their contracts inside of a couple of of many years, Even though their functionality includes misplaced a little bit, making an attempt that versus 2023 they will sooner or later acquire off, accomplishing the position we all require, about what we consist of recognized until finally presently. The projections invite us towards be client with each and every 1 of them.Inevitably, we shouldn overlook regarding some rather karat pitchers such as Jameson Taillon or Chad Kuhl, who are Really unattainable in direction of examine instantly presently thanks in direction of their existing personal injury.The contrary circumstance is symbolized via Cole Tucker, Keryan Hayes or Mitch Keller, who are identified as in direction of ascertain them selves definitively within just the Most important Leagues for the following number of weeks, and pertaining to whom unquestionably, having into account or not the forecasts of WAR, we can validate that they are the long run of this franchise.